Even if there had been more time for us to get to grips with them, Education's proposals are lacking in the detail we need if we're to weigh them up properly, says our columnist, Horace Camp. But actually, that's not his greatest concern about the whole thing...
WHEN I decided to take on this political pundit gig my greatest concern was having enough material to fill a bi-weekly column. I imagined approaching copy deadline time with my editor harassing me, wet tea towel on my head and chewing my Bluetooth keyboard desperate for an interesting topic.
I shouldn't have been concerned because the one thing we can rely on is that the States of Guernsey is a government that keeps on giving.
They have given so much in the past few days that my bi-weekly is now weekly, hopefully for one week only, but with 45 deputies creating content for me, who knows.
Let's start with Education. Imagine a society with deeply ingrained beliefs which have developed over generations, and the beliefs are as much dependent on faith as on practical realities. Then imagine a government department which decides to rationalise those beliefs into a one-size-fits-all belief which all can adopt.
It takes years working up its plan and consults widely with the community. There is a clear desire from the majority to maintain the status quo with, perhaps, a few tweaks. The department ponders for a long time and then proposes to overturn the status quo, issues its policy letter and allows a few weeks for review before expecting a final decision to be taken in its favour.
Given the optimism of Education, they are wasted here, but should be solving much greater problems that plague our world. Perhaps they can recommend banning personal firearms in the US and give Congress four weeks to decide. Then in May they can sort out the Sunni and Shiite problem in the Middle East. How long will the various governments need to decide on this thorny topic? I'd give at least six weeks' lead-in time.
How on earth do these people imagine the hoary problem of the 11-plus can be solved in such a short time, with little effort having been put in to lead the people of this island to the conclusion Education prefers? On one side we have the 'you will have to take the 11-plus from my cold dead hand' brigade and on the other the bleeding heart liberals who frown on families giving a leg- up to their children and call for an egalitarian state.
In my view, the report presents decision-based evidence and is totally lacking in the detail needed for any open-minded individual to decide to take the great leap of faith Education is proposing.
Statistics as presented are hard to compare, with actual numbers sometimes being compared with percentages and full information given for one side of the argument but not a full comparator for the other.
But is my greatest concern that Education has ignored the consultation results by weighting teachers' responses many times greater than those of parents, and by not presenting a balanced case?
No. It is that their 'model for Guernsey' ignores a fundamental and long-standing difference between our educational system and the one most of our educators were trained and or raised within.
In Guernsey it has long been accepted that the colleges are as much a part of the state system as Grammar or the high schools. Elizabeth College, with a board controlled by States nominees, is no Eton serving the moneyed classes, but is open to our whole community. How many families do not have a relation who attends or once attended EC or the Ladies' College, the latter of which is owned by the States, which has total legal control over it and its activities.
In England about 7.5% of learners are privately educated in real public schools, leaving around 90% to populate the all-ability comprehensives which education is proposing. This mixing of abilities is paramount in Education's argument, with all aspiring to the highest common denominator. The jock wants to emulate the nerd, not give him a wedgie gambit.
In Guernsey 30% of learners are 'privately' educated in schools we mostly regard as community schools, where the main difference is that they are free of Education's 'help' and parents contribute most of the cost of educating their children. The report says it costs us the taxpayer £4m. to educate those 30% (a sum which will reduce by 2019 under the current agreement) – a bargain compared with the 70% at Grammar and the high schools.
For Education's plan to work I assume they believe the 30% will reduce and the super-school will not rely on the abilities of only 70%, but with an influx from the colleges will reach the English percentage.
I believe this is fatally flawed. There will be those who would have secured special places who cannot afford to pay, but there will be many who can. I'm guessing many parents of Grammar-capable children will scrimp, save and look for grandparents to assist in affording college fees. I can see the 30% in private education rising to, say, 40%, leaving 60% of learners in an all-ability super-school which clearly won't be the all-ability school imagined by Education. I think they have designed a school solution that could work in England but they haven't really thought of a workable Guernsey solution, nor given me enough evidence that their proposal will deliver a 10% colleges and 90% high school system.
I suggest parking this proposal. Regroup, and if the next political board is of the same mindset as the current one, get this on the table mid-term and spend the time needed to properly debate the argument.
You have to have us with you on this one – and remember, you can lead a donkey but we refuse to be driven.
The law of unintended consequences may be leading an egalitarian board to lay the foundations of an elitist system.
SPEAKING of unintended consequences, what about the £8m. PFoS scandal? Islanders seem to be in shock at this one and the only possible benefit is that Deputy Sherborne will get a bit of a breather defending Education's proposal on Twitter.
The timing is bad for another reason. We will not know by election day which candidates we should boo and which we should applaud. Could it be that heroes pulled the plug, saving us an even greater loss, or that villains bullied others into keeping going to save face? Even with an independent review I doubt we will ever know, and the eventual outcome will be that all are tarred with the same brush.
I know this will surprise you, dear reader, but I call both for patience and compassion when considering this one. The milk is spilt, the horse has bolted and the calls for blood have begun. This is not the time for a witch hunt, as disappointing as that sounds.