Guernsey Press

WATCH: 'We are heading in the right direction' - Dr Brink

A QUARTER of people who contracted Covid-19 since 22 January have recovered.

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Top left clockwise: States chief executive Paul Whitfield, HSC president Deputy Al Brouard, CCA chair Deputy Peter Ferbrache, P&R vice-president Deputy Heidi Soulsby and Director of Public Health Dr Nicola Brink. (29231616)

Civil Contingencies Authority chairman Deputy Peter Ferbrache touched briefly at the start of today's conference about the Bailiwick's exit from lockdown.

He then handed over to the director of Public Health Dr Nicola Brink who gave an overview of the current situation.

Graphic by the States of Guernsey. (29231465)

'We've had 450 positive cases in this wave and a quarter of those have now recovered.

'114 cases are now closed because those people have recovered, we are pleased that there have been no deaths to date' she said.

Graphic by the States of Guernsey. (29231467)

Breaking down the cases, she looked at historical data but focussed on the more recent data.

Earlier on, there were still several cases where the source of the infection was not immediately clear.

Graphic by the States of Guernsey. (29231469)

On Sunday 7 February, testing was done around a cluster, which is why the number of cases discovered was slightly higher than the previous few days.

She expected the numbers to bounce around a bit in the coming days as targeted testing is carried out.

The three 'unknown community sources' found yesterday are still being contact traced so it may become apparent that there is a clear link.

Another case has been identified in a staff member of the second affected care home.

Graphic by the States of Guernsey. (29231471)

Pleased that the island was moving in the right direction, Dr Brink said it was important to stay vigilent.

Graphic by the States of Guernsey. (29231473)

Looking at individual cases, a five-day moving model is used to show a trend of what the situation is. This is important because case numbers can bounce around in a smaller community.

'As we move forward during the lockdown, we can see that we've really squashed the number of cases we would have been seeing,' she said.

Graphic by the States of Guernsey. (29231475)

Talking about moving out of lockdown, she spoke about triggers that would make the island proceed with its exit from lockdown, and what would trigger a backwards step.

'As we move out of this lockdown we will have a very acute testing system.

'What's different from the first lockdown is that we're doing this one while we're rolling out the vaccine programme so our community is becoming increasingly more protected.'

Graphic by the States of Guernsey. (29231477)

The objective of lockdown was to simply reduce the spread of the virus.

This exit from lockdown is different, not only because of lessons learned from the 2020 lockdown, but because the island's testing system is enhanced.

'Stage 2 would be the equivalent of the old Phase 4,' she said.

'At each step we're looking to balance social and economic impact.'

Graphic by the States of Guernsey. (29231479)

Release figures which would determine whether the island would move forwards or backwards in the lockdown were explained, such as not having new clusters, continued local testing, continuing to protect the community with the vaccine etc.

Graphic by the States of Guernsey. (29231481)